Analitics


Precious metals little-changed following yesterday’s short-covering bounce


Gold and silver both started the day a touch weaker following Tuesday’s short-covering rally. But prices recovered somewhat in the afternoon as gold found decent support at $1255, a level which had previously offered resistance. This behaviour of price thus suggests the technical picture is continuing to look constructive for the bulls for now. But there is little in the way of economic data for the financial markets to get excited about, so we are likely to see some more profit taking and range-bound price action for the remainder of today’s session. In fact, this will most likely remain the theme until that FOMC meeting is out of the way next Wednesday.

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Source: Forex.com

11.12.2013


UDJPY: 105.00 on the cards


USDJPY is coming under some downward pressure today after hitting a high of 103.40. This is not unusual as the daily relative strength index is testing 70 and is close to overbought territory after a strong rally in recent weeks.

We are approaching a key resistance zone between 103.50 (rumoured barrier option level) and 103.75 – the high from 22nd May. This could prove to be sticky and may account for today’s pullback.

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Source: Forex.com

10.12.2013


Chinese and Japanese economic data misses expectations


It was a session of misses in Asia, with Japan’s GDP and trade figures, as well as China’s inflation data all coming in below expectations. The implications of the unexpected figures from the two neighbouring countries contrast each other. Lower inflation in China may provide Beijing with more room to support the economy during a difficult transition, while Japan’s data highlights the problems facing Tokyo.

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Source: Forex.com

09.12.2013


USD: will it ignore another good NFP number?


t was a wild ride for the USD on Thursday. Firstly the buck went up on the back of a good headline GDP reading for Q3, then it fell sharply after the markets digested the news that things were not as good as originally thought. The dollar index is hovering close to recent lows the 50-day sma at 80.35.

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Source: Forex.com

06.12.2013


ECB can’t keep a lid on EURUSD


Since the start of ECB President Mario Draghi’s commentary EURUSD has rallied more than 100 pips even though its 2-year inflation forecasts were well below the ECB’s preferred rate of annual headline CPI of 2% or just below.

So what drove the EUR higher?

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Source: Forex.com

05.12.2013


FUNDAMENTAL: The data deluge begins…


The markets are gearing up for a busy Wednesday, while Tuesday’s declines in global stock markets was mostly a technical move, for the rest of the week the fundamentals are in focus and things could start to get interesting.

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Source: Forex.com

04.12.2013


EURUSD: Further gains possible but the outlook remains fragile


EURUSD managed to hold short term support this morning at 1.3535 – the bottom of the ascending channel on the hourly chart. This comes after a rare positive surprise for Spain’s labour market. Unemployment fell by 2.5k, better than the 50k increase expected and the largest drop since July. This has been followed by a bullish crossover in the hourly MACD, which suggests the short term momentum could be higher.

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Source: Forex.com

03.12.2013


Crude oil underpinned by positive manufacturing PMIs


Crude oil was trading mixed this morning, with Brent down and WTI up. As a result, the price gap between the two contracts narrowed to just over $16, having exceeded $19 at one point last week. However Brent managed to pare its losses in the afternoon and was trading back in the positive territory at the time of this writing.

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Source: Forex.com

02.12.2013


Commodities boosted by short-side profit-taking


On this data-void black Friday North-American session, commodities are trading broadly higher. Both gold and silver are firmer while crude oil is mixed with Brent down and WTI up. Given the lack of US data and mixed macro pointers from Europe, commodities are primarily driven by technical factors rather than fundamentals today. Gold, for example,

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Source: Forex.com

29.11.2013


Japan’s slew of economic data isn’t a game changer


Japan released CPI, industrial production, manufacturing PMI and labour market data today with mixed results. In October consumer prices rose 1.1% y/y as expected and core-core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose more than expected at 0.3% y/y. Preliminary industrial production for October increased less than expected at 0.5% (exp. 2.0%) and Japan’s jobless rate remained steady at 4.0% (exp. 3.9%), while manufacturing PMI jumped to 55.1 from 54.2 this month. Does this mean Japan’s economy is on the right track?

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Source: Forex.com

28.11.2013


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