Аналитика


Dollar dips in late day risk rally


The U.S. dollar erased earlier gains, tumbling against all of the G10 except the Japanese yen, and the euro firmed on reports that EU officials may be coordinating a bank rescue. Though the news gave a boost to risk sentiment, we remain skeptical that this will materialize into a longer term solution for the sovereign debt crisis as coordination by EU officials has proved very difficult in the past.

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Источник: Forex.com

04.10.2011


More of the same as we enter Q4


The markets have sold risk as we start a new quarter. The problem is that we still don’t know what will happen with Greece – today’s Ecofin meeting in Europe should be the major driver of the markets during the NYC session, along with the ISM report released at 1000ET/ 1500 BST.

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Источник: Forex.com

03.10.2011


China growth fears add to sovereign concerns


There is plenty to digest as we end Q3. Not only do four Spanish savings banks need to be re-capitalised with state aid to the tune of EUR 7.5bn, but added to that the Troika have had to delay their meeting on Greece because the Greek Finance Ministry has been taken over by protestors, Athens is holding an emergency cabinet meeting on Sunday and the cost to insure Chinese government debt against default have risen to its highest level since March 2009.

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Источник: Forex.com

30.09.2011


Germany votes yes but the euro’s reaction is muted


Stocks jumped in the mid-morning session, as investors digested news that the German parliament had easily passed a vote to allow the July changes to the EFSF rescue fund, although the euro fell back from its highs of the session. Stock markets are brushing off economic data that continues to come in on the weak side.

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Источник: Forex.com

29.09.2011


Markets shift back into havens as uncertainty remains high


The U.S. dollar reversed earlier losses and firmed against all of the G10 except against the JPY as traders shifted back into safe havens. The relief rally was unable to extend gains in risky assets as equities declined and the high beta currencies NZD, AUD, and CAD were the worst performers against the greenback today.

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Источник: Forex.com

28.09.2011


EFSF runs into roadblocks


This of course relates to whether or not the European authorities will expand the EFSF’s size to EUR2-3 trillion. The only sustainable solution to this crisis is: 1, funds available in case Spain and Italy (maybe France) get in to trouble, 2, a recapitalisation of Europe’s banks , which may cost EUR300bn according to IMF estimates and 3, an ability to protect the ECB- who holds in the region of EUR60bn of Greek debt - in the event that Athens defaults.

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Источник: Forex.com

27.09.2011


New Week Begins with Risk Off


While the week began with the EUR/USD well bid, the strength in the single European currency was fleeting, as the pair eventually made its way under 1.3400. After a close on Friday near 1.3500, the pair was boosted about 20 pips on the open due to some reassuring comments from German Chancellor Merkel earlier in the day where she stated that Germany did not want Greece to exit the Euro Zone.

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Источник: Forex.com

26.09.2011


G-20’s soothing words start to fade


The European equity markets have reversed course as we head into lunchtime in Europe and are now lower on the day. After yesterday’s rout, it looked like investors were staying on the side-lines and booking some profit before the weekend.

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Источник: Forex.com

23.09.2011


Out with the Fed and back to Europe


Stocks in Europe have nose-dived today, with most of the major European indices down about 4%. There is a mixture of drivers for this: firstly fears for the US economy escalated last night when the Fed announced Operation Twist to try and boost activity and bring down the unemployment rate. Secondly, China’s PMI data was weak for another month in September, which suggests the Asian powerhouse is still coupled to the West.

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Источник: Forex.com

22.09.2011


Twists and turns for the Fed


The FOMC meeting later today will dominate the markets today and could even distract attention away from Greece and the Eurozone. Below are the main market themes so far today:

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Источник: Forex.com

21.09.2011


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