Аналитика
Weekly Drop for Dollar and Yen on Improving Sentiment
* Safe haven demand boosted the dollar on Friday after terrorist bombings in Jakarta, Indonesia. Data on US housing starts and building permits were better than anticipated. The S&P 500 fell 0.36 points to 940.38, but US stocks rose about 7% for the week. The dollar and yen declined on better risk appetite while the European and commodity currencies advanced for the week.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
17.07.2009
Yen Gains on CIT Risk
* The dollar fell against most major currencies on Thursday on mixed economic news. Risk aversion increased after commercial lender CIT Group said bailout talks with the US government failed. The Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index fell more than expected in July. Meanwhile, US initial and continuing jobless claims dropped more than anticipated and July builder confidence climbed to the highest level since September 2008. Stocks gained after Nouriel Roubini, one of the most bearish forecasters, said the worst of the financial crisis is over and predicted a weak economic expansion later this year. The S&P 500 gained 8.06 points to 940.74. The euro and sterling rose on higher stocks. The Canadian dollar fell after three days of strong gains. The Australian dollar was supported by China’s strong economic growth. The Reserve Bank of Australia disclosed it sold Australian dollars in June.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
16.07.2009
USD/CAD Falls on Global Recovery
* The dollar and yen fell on Wednesday as US stocks rallied on earnings and economic recovery optimism. US industrial production posted the smallest drop in eight months. The New York Fed manufacturing report showed that manufacturing orders are expanding and the sector contracted at the slowest pace in over a year. The S&P 500 rallied 26.84 points to 932.68. Fed officials thought last month that the US recession would end “before long,” according to meeting minutes, but worried that the economy remained vulnerable to shocks. The yen plunged on increased risk appetite and signs that the Bank of Japan is getting more optimistic after extending its credit-easing programs less than expected. The euro rose on improved risk sentiment and comments by ECB member Vitor Constancio who said EMU interest rates are “appropriate.” Better-thanexpected UK employment data supported the pound. The high-yielding Australian dollar advanced as stocks and commodity prices rose.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
15.07.2009
EUR/USD Will Rise on Stock Market Rally
* The dollar traded mixed on Tuesday, higher against the euro and yen but lower versus other major currencies. Surging gasoline prices spurred gains in June US retail sales and producer prices, while businesses reduced inventories. The S&P 500 rose 4.79 points to 905.84 following strong earnings from Goldman Sachs. Rising global stocks pressured the yen. Better-than-expected UK house price balance and retail sales supported the pound. The Australian and Canadian dollars advanced as commodity prices rose.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
14.07.2009
EUR/CHF Unlikely to Fall Below 1.50
* The dollar fell as risk sentiment improved and US stocks rallied on Monday. The S&P 500 rose 21.92 points to 901.05. The yen declined as financial stocks rallied on an upgrade on Goldman Sachs. Japan’s Cabinet Office raised its assessment for the economy for a third consecutive month. The euro and sterling reversed earlier losses. The Australian and Canadian dollars advanced on improving risk appetite. The AUD/USD reversed earlier losses after a successful test of the 0.77 support. The USD/CAD fell but did not break the 1.15 support.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
13.07.2009
JPY and USD Rise on Falling US Confidence
* Declining US consumer confidence boosted the yen and dollar on Friday. The Japanese currency rallied against all major currencies for the week as increased risk aversion spurred investors to unwind carry trades. The dollar rose versus all the major higher yielding and risk sensitive currencies. Furthermore, the USD gained against the euro, pound and Australian dollar for a second week and rose against the Canadian dollar for a sixth week as investors deleveraged and stocks and commodity prices declined. The S&P 500 fell 3.55 points to 879.13, for a fourth weekly drop.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
10.07.2009
Sterling Finds Support
* The dollar and yen fell on Thursday as stabilizing stocks reduced safe haven demand. US initial jobless claims fell below 600K for the first time since January, indicating the US recession is abating. The S&P 500 rose 3.12 points to 882.68. The yen was little changed against the greenback but fell in cross trades. The European currencies rose as risk aversion subsided. The Australian and Canadian dollars advanced on improving risk sentiment and rising commodity prices.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
09.07.2009
Dollar and Yen Pare Gains and Stocks Find Support
* The dollar rose and the yen rallied on Wednesday as risk aversion increased despite that the International Monetary Fund forecast a stronger global economic recovery in 2010. The IMF upgraded its forecast and said the world economy will expand 2.5% in 2010 following a 1.4% contraction in 2009. Worries about the outlook for the global economy sparked selloffs in stocks and commodities, increased risk aversion and rallied the safe haven currencies. The S&P 500 fell 1.47 points to 879.56. The USD/JPY broke its neckline support and plunged to the lowest level since February, but pared losses after US stocks found support at the important 870 area. The euro declined despite stronger-than-expected German industrial production. Sterling dropped for a fifth day and traded below the psychological important 1.60 handle. The Canadian dollar fell as crude oil approached the $60 support.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
08.07.2009
Dollar and Yen Gain on Safe Haven Demand
* The dollar rose on Tuesday as risk aversion overshadowed reserve currency concerns ahead of Wednesday’s G-8 meeting. The S&P 500 broke its 200-day moving average and fell 17.69 points to 881.03. The euro declined versus the yen and greenback on safe haven flows but rose against other key currencies as Germany’s May manufacturing orders posted the biggest month-on-month gain since June 2007. Sterling fell for a fourth day pressured by an unexpected decline in UK industrial production and worries about UK economic prospects. The Australian and Canadian dollars dropped as stocks and commodities fell again.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
07.07.2009
Yen Rises on Recovery Doubts
* The greenback and particularly yen rose on Monday as risk aversion increased on concerns an economic recovery will stall. The dollar pared gains after a larger-than-expected increase in the ISM US nonmanufacturing index helped US stocks from early losses. The S&P 500 was up 2.30 points to 898.72. The yen gained against all major currencies, while the USD/JPY pared losses after testing the 94.50 support. The euro and commodity currencies reversed early losses and gained modestly versus the USD. Still, the commodity currencies have been pressured by lower commodity prices. The Australian and Canadian dollars have broken their uptrends, indicating further weaknesses.
Источник: Hans Nilsson
06.07.2009
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Динамика валютных курсов